This is arguably the only reason why fed is justified in bailing out. But it gives rise to one more evil of 'moral hazzard'. All these firms did what they were not supposed to do, now they are paying for their wrong doing and US govt. is providing funds for that. What is the guarantee that this will not be repeated few years from now. I had few important points that I wanted to pen down.
What happened after the great depression, there was a lull of economic activity, large scale unemployment, etc. for a period till 1933. Post that there was world war II, after which US emerged as a super power. We do not know if there was no great depression what would have happened and it is difficult to argue for any scenario.
This time it is difficult to imagine what would have happened without this bail outs. It is just a hypothesis that the financial markets would have crashed, but even if this happens, I would like to argue so what? Is bailing out a permanent solution? Where is the money for these bail outs coming from? As far as my knowledge goes there can be three options:
- Increase taxes - you will make the condition of an average person worse as he is already under the threat of unemployment and by increasing tax collection his income further reduces
- Print more money - this would certainly increase inflation and hence hurt the pockets of common man
- Borrow from other countries - Borrowing comes with a servicing cost, US economy has already borrowed huge money to fund the wars, additional borrowing for these bail outs would further increase the servicing cost and hence the budget deficit.
2 comments:
I am partly in-sync to the three options. I agree that if the companies have done what they were not supposed to do and now that these companies are in soup, why (any) government should not treat them as defaulters and ask them to go out of industry? Government having enough (redundant) money does not conclude to ‘bail-out’ decision. The root cause of the problem is unaddressed and stands unresolved. I am surprised how subprime and now this crash was not sensed by the world’s best business brains! … which means there has to be radical shift in thinking to implement corrective measures which should give a positive boost in centuries to come, not years.
I feel the bailout package should be used to invest in a massive public transport infrastructure creation in the US.
This will serve 2 purpose:
1. Drive real economic activity(unlike giving alms to auto companies to run their inefficient empires)
2. Force Americans to be frugal on scarse petroleum resources.
Bailout package should not be used to create further inefficiencies.
Post a Comment